Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 10.229186 11.358776 12.574000 13.980612 15.566482 17.302024 19.349128
2025-08-17 8.239775 9.748585 11.490998 13.660446 16.300930 19.425148 23.423428
2025-08-24 6.912843 8.617149 10.704536 13.468256 17.059600 21.606861 27.861403
2025-08-31 5.988456 7.801884 10.136883 13.396667 17.881797 23.911807 32.761119
2025-09-07 5.413043 7.331832 9.914419 13.695065 19.173253 26.954738 39.083718
2025-09-14 4.830815 6.764318 9.467650 13.591383 19.844069 29.169101 44.511612
2025-09-21 4.307868 6.209570 8.958627 13.307585 20.174173 30.874172 49.368141
2025-09-28 3.918553 5.800190 8.604826 13.193712 20.717936 32.937087 55.070296
2025-10-05 3.722537 5.655812 8.625967 13.651451 22.209812 36.701782 64.241336
2025-10-12 3.538355 5.507211 8.618114 14.049248 23.634210 40.521440 74.122909
2025-10-19 3.313169 5.268828 8.437447 14.127667 24.500012 43.449520 82.789535
2025-10-26 3.069432 4.976221 8.136193 13.957577 24.886085 45.526756 90.094003
2025-11-02 2.833321 4.681139 7.812173 13.727799 25.163612 47.494644 97.665233
2025-11-09 2.619932 4.407170 7.500424 13.488009 25.395053 49.411701 105.510786
2025-11-16 2.441649 4.179425 7.249593 13.334686 25.776329 51.687319 114.604683
2025-11-23 2.295319 3.996189 7.062163 13.281711 26.351814 54.451543 125.389184
2025-11-30 2.209579 3.915744 7.056736 13.586275 27.712395 59.130969 141.837146
2025-12-07 2.081186 3.745005 6.864295 13.487957 28.185985 61.866526 153.878831
2025-12-14 1.943378 3.545494 6.598874 13.208727 28.219317 63.569932 163.513510
2025-12-21 1.836531 3.397249 6.421393 13.096855 28.617173 66.204941 176.294669
2025-12-28 1.797324 3.378240 6.500759 13.551354 30.400462 72.570349 201.363014
2026-01-04 1.753734 3.346793 6.551345 13.946145 32.092284 78.981390 228.184288
2026-01-11 1.682951 3.254668 6.467341 14.024055 33.007305 83.473200 250.081871